If you loan out money, especially if you do it for long periods of time (like with a mortgage), you don't want the borrower to prepay the loan. With a 30-year mortgage outstanding, you don't want the person to win the lottery a year into it and pay you back the remaining principal. You just lost out on 29 years of interest payments...hundreds of thousands of dollars.
That's known as prepayment risk. Contraction risk is a component of this. It's the risk that someone will pay off part or all of the loan in advance, cutting off all those juicy future interest payments.
The opposite form of prepayment risk is called extension risk. Instead of shortening the length of the loan (like with the contraction scenario), the borrower in this circumstance extends the loan. They refinance, or they defer loan payments. The borrower usually decides to do this when they can get a better deal on rates, say, refinancing a 6% fixed rate with a 3% one.
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Finance: What is Recession?15 Views
finance a la shmoop what is recession well here's one here's another and
another and well here's an economic recession so technically when GDP [Set of teeth appear]
declines for two sequential quarters that is a recession and you can glean
enough from this most excellent chart that in most years GDP grows not
massively but relatively steadily and with compounding the US has grown GDP
from a trickle to a torrent in a recession economic activity declines [Recession definition appears]
maybe a half a percent a percent maybe two percent and you might not think
that's a big deal but we're a nation living on credit that is plastic these [Man using credit card]
things mortgages car loans bunch of other credit II kind of things so a
decline of even 1% when we were expecting growth of two is a delta of 3%
and that change is exacerbated with leverage when people fear for their job
safety they stop buying those extra pairs of earrings at the mall they get [Woman biting her nails]
one less tattoo and they stop making appointments at Botox Depot so all of
the sudden activity in given quote luxury sectors or otherwise unquote just [Person receiving a tattoo]
stops dead and there's a multiplier effect here as well because a wealthy
banker who used to throw 20 parties a year now only throws four so all those [Calendar displaying party days appears]
bartenders and oboe players and ice sculptors yeah they're all out of work
as well and then they buy less beer and that new ice pick the sculptor was gonna
buy yeah well she'll just sharpen her own and make do with it you know until
the GDP grows again after the recession is over in a few years so yeah [Boom/bust cycle appears]
recessions they're dangerous and credit high credit makes them all the more
dangerous so be wary